Abstract
Background: SARS-CoV-2 is known to transmit in hospital settings, but the contribution of infections acquired in hospitals to the epidemic at a national scale is unknown.
Methods: We used comprehensive national English datasets to determine the number of COVID-19 patients with identified hospital-acquired infections (with symptom onset > 7 days after admission and before discharge) in acute English hospitals up to August 2020. As patients may leave the hospital prior to detection of infection or have rapid symptom onset, we combined measures of the length of stay and the incubation period distribution to estimate how many hospital-acquired infections may have been missed. We used simulations to estimate the total number (identified and unidentified) of symptomatic hospital-acquired infections, as well as infections due to onward community transmission from missed hospital-acquired infections, to 31st July 2020.
Results: In our dataset of hospitalised COVID-19 patients in acute English hospitals with a recorded symptom onset date (n = 65,028), 7% were classified as hospital-acquired. We estimated that only 30% (range across weeks and 200 simulations: 20–41%) of symptomatic hospital-acquired infections would be identified, with up to 15% (mean, 95% range over 200 simulations: 14.1–15.8%) of cases currently classified as community-acquired COVID-19 potentially linked to hospital transmission. We estimated that 26,600 (25,900 to 27,700) individuals acquired a symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection in an acute Trust in England before 31st July 2020, resulting in 15,900 (15,200–16,400) or 20.1% (19.2–20.7%) of all identified hospitalised COVID-19 cases.
Conclusions: Transmission of SARS-CoV-2 to hospitalised patients likely caused approximately a fifth of identified cases of hospitalised COVID-19 in the “first wave” in England, but less than 1% of all infections in England. Using time to symptom onset from admission for inpatients as a detection method likely misses a substantial proportion (> 60%) of hospital-acquired infections.
Original language | English |
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Article number | 556 |
Journal | BMC Infectious Diseases |
Volume | 22 |
Issue number | 1 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - 18 Jun 2022 |
Bibliographical note
Funding Information: This work was supported by a UK Medical Research Council Skills Development Fellowship (Grant Number MR/P014658/1 to GMK) and the Society for Laboratory Automation and Screening (Grant Number: SLAS_VS2020 to TMP). Any opinions, findings, and conclusions or recommendations expressed inthis material are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect those of the Society for Laboratory Automation and Screening. This work was also supported by a joint grant from UKRI and NIHR (Grant Number: COV0357/MR/V028456/1 to GMK, supporting YJ, JMR, BC and JVR, grant number MR/V038613/1 for JMR). Support was also received from the National Institute for Health Research Health Protection Research Unit (NIHR HPRU) in Healthcare Associated Infections and Antimicrobial Resistance at Oxford University in partnership with Public Health England (PHE) (Grant Number: NIHR200915 supporting BC and JVR). Further support was provided by a Senior Research Fellowship from the Wellcome Trust (Grant Number: 210758/Z/18/Z to SF) and a Singapore National Medical Research Council Research Fellowship (Grant Number: NMRC/Fellowship/0051/2017 to MY). MGS and ISARIC4C: This work uses data provided by patients and collected by the NHS as part of their care and support #DataSavesLives. The COVID-19 Clinical Information Network (CO-CIN) data was collated by ISARIC4C Investigators. Data provision was supported by grants from: the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR; award CO-CIN-01), the Medical Research Council (MRC; grant MC_PC_19059), and by the NIHR Health Protection Research Unit (HPRU) in Emerging and Zoonotic Infections at University of Liverpool in partnership with Public Health England (PHE), (award 200907), NIHR HPRU in Respiratory Infections at Imperial College London with PHE (award 200927), Liverpool Experimental Cancer Medicine Centre (Grant C18616/A25153), NIHR Biomedical Research Centre at Imperial College London (award IS-BRC-1215-20013), and NIHR Clinical Research Network providing infrastructure support.
The following funding sources are acknowledged as providing funding for the CMMID working group authors. This research was partly funded by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation (INV-001754: MQ; INV-003174: KP, MJ, YL; INV-016832: SRP, KA; NTD Modelling Consortium OPP1184344: CABP, GFM; OPP1191821: KO’R; OPP1157270: KA; OPP1139859: BJQ). CADDE MR/S0195/1 &
FAPESP 18/14389-0 (PM). EDCTP2 (RIA2020EF-2983-CSIGN: HPG). ERC Starting
Grant (#757699: MQ). ERC (SG 757688: CJVA, KEA). This project has received
funding from the European Union’s Horizon 2020 research and innovation
programme—project EpiPose (101003688: AG, KLM, KP, MJ, RCB, YL;
101003688: WJE). FCDO/Wellcome Trust (Epidemic Preparedness Coronavirus
research programme 221303/Z/20/Z: CABP). This research was partly funded by the Global Challenges Research Fund (GCRF) project ’RECAP’ managed through RCUK and ESRC (ES/P010873/1: CIJ). HDR UK (MR/S003975/1: RME). HPRU (This research was partly funded by the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) using UK aid from the UK Government to support global health research. The views expressed in this publication are those of the author(s) and not necessarily those of the NIHR or the UK Department of Health and Social Care200908: NIB). MRC (MR/N013638/1: EF; MR/V027956/1: WW). Nakajima Foundation (AE). NIHR (16/136/46: BJQ; 16/137/109: BJQ; PR-OD-1017-20002: WJE; 16/137/109: FYS, MJ, YL; 1R01AI141534-01A1: DH; NIHR200908: AJK, LACC, RME; NIHR200929: CVM, FGS, MJ, NGD; PR-OD-1017-20002: AR). Royal Society (Dorothy Hodgkin Fellowship: RL). Singapore Ministry of Health (RP). UK DHSC/UK Aid/NIHR (PR-OD-1017-20001: HPG). UK MRC (MC_PC_19065—Covid 19: understanding the dynamics and drivers of the COVID-19 epidemic using real-time outbreak analytics: SC, WJE, NGD, RME, YL). Wellcome Trust (206250/Z/17/Z: AJK; 206471/Z/17/Z: OJB; 210758/Z/18/Z: JDM, JH, KS, SA, SRM; 221303/Z/20/Z: MK; 206250/Z/17/Z: TWR; 208812/Z/17/Z: SC, SFlasche). No funding (DCT, SH).
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Publisher Copyright: © The Author(s) 2022.
Citation: Knight, G.M., Pham, T.M., Stimson, J. et al. The contribution of hospital-acquired infections to the COVID-19 epidemic in England in the first half of 2020. BMC Infect Dis 22, 556 (2022).
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12879-022-07490-4
Keywords
- COVID-19
- Mathematical modelling
- Nosocomial transmission
- SARS-CoV-2