Setting thresholds to determine COVID-19 activity levels using the mean standard deviation (MSD) method, England, 2022–2024

Mary A. Sinnathamby; Tania Bourouphael; Jacob Boateng; Magali Collonnaz; Catherine Quinot; Nurin Abdul Aziz; Suzanne Elgohari; Rebecca E. Green; Gavin Dabrera; Jamie Lopez-Bernal; Alex Allen

doi:10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2024.29.45.2400696

Setting thresholds to determine COVID-19 activity levels using the mean standard deviation (MSD) method, England, 2022–2024

Mary A. Sinnathamby^*, Tania Bourouphael, Jacob Boateng, Magali Collonnaz, Catherine Quinot, Nurin Abdul Aziz, Suzanne Elgohari, Rebecca E. Green, Gavin Dabrera, Jamie Lopez-Bernal, Alex Allen

^*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

Abstract

We developed a new activity level setting threshold method, the mean standard deviation (MSD) method to quantify COVID-19 activity levels. This has been validated against the moving epidemic method (MEM), which has been used for influenza for many years, and we observed very similar results. The MSD method can prove to be a tool to use for respiratory viruses with limited historical data or seasonality to quantify activity levels when other respiratory viruses are also circulating.

Original language	English
Article number	pii=2400696
Journal	Eurosurveillance
Volume	29
Issue number	45
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2024.29.45.2400696
Publication status	Published - 7 Nov 2024

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© 2024 European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC). All rights reserved.

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10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2024.29.45.2400696

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Sinnathamby, M. A., Bourouphael, T., Boateng, J., Collonnaz, M., Quinot, C., Aziz, N. A., Elgohari, S., Green, R. E., Dabrera, G., Lopez-Bernal, J., & Allen, A. (2024). Setting thresholds to determine COVID-19 activity levels using the mean standard deviation (MSD) method, England, 2022–2024. Eurosurveillance, 29(45), Article pii=2400696. https://doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2024.29.45.2400696

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abstract = "We developed a new activity level setting threshold method, the mean standard deviation (MSD) method to quantify COVID-19 activity levels. This has been validated against the moving epidemic method (MEM), which has been used for influenza for many years, and we observed very similar results. The MSD method can prove to be a tool to use for respiratory viruses with limited historical data or seasonality to quantify activity levels when other respiratory viruses are also circulating.",

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Sinnathamby, MA, Bourouphael, T, Boateng, J, Collonnaz, M, Quinot, C, Aziz, NA, Elgohari, S, Green, RE, Dabrera, G , Lopez-Bernal, J & Allen, A 2024, 'Setting thresholds to determine COVID-19 activity levels using the mean standard deviation (MSD) method, England, 2022–2024', Eurosurveillance, vol. 29, no. 45, pii=2400696. https://doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2024.29.45.2400696

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AU - Sinnathamby, Mary A.

AU - Bourouphael, Tania

AU - Boateng, Jacob

AU - Collonnaz, Magali

AU - Quinot, Catherine

AU - Aziz, Nurin Abdul

AU - Elgohari, Suzanne

AU - Green, Rebecca E.

AU - Dabrera, Gavin

AU - Lopez-Bernal, Jamie

AU - Allen, Alex

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ER -

Setting thresholds to determine COVID-19 activity levels using the mean standard deviation (MSD) method, England, 2022–2024

Abstract

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