Modelling the impact of pandemic influenza in the UK

Thomas Griffin; Raymond Gani; Douglas Fleming; Ian Hall; Charles Penn; Stephen Leach

doi:10.1016/j.ics.2004.02.089

Modelling the impact of pandemic influenza in the UK

Thomas Griffin, Raymond Gani^*, Douglas Fleming, Ian Hall, Charles Penn, Stephen Leach

^*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

1 Citation (Scopus)

Abstract

Work to estimate the spatial/temporal spread of pandemic influenza across the UK and assessing of the relative impact of different intervention strategies on the estimated burden of disease is being conducted at the Health Protection Agency-Porton Down in order to aid the formulation of the UK pandemic influenza plan. Two separate modelling strategies have been employed: a static model to assess levels of morbidity and mortality within different age and risk groups and a spatial-temporal model for spatially referenced intervention strategies. Here, we show how these modelling strategies are being applied and discuss how they can be combined to further extend their utility.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	243-246
Number of pages	4
Journal	International Congress Series
Volume	1263
Issue number	C
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ics.2004.02.089
Publication status	Published - 1 Jun 2004

Keywords

Epidemic modelling
Pandemic influenza
Pandemic planning

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10.1016/j.ics.2004.02.089

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Modelling the impact of pandemic influenza in the UK

Abstract

Keywords

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