Abstract
Escherichia coli bacteraemia rates have been increasing in England. Using the national mandatory surveillance data for E. coli bacteraemia from 2012/13 to 2016/17, we aimed to estimate the incidence of E. coli bacteraemia and 30-day all-cause case fatality rate (CFR) by 2020/21 in the absence of new interventions to reduce infection rates. After controlling for age, sex, and hospital versus community-onset of infection, it is estimated that the incidence of E. coli bacteraemia will be 90.5 (95% PI: 89.8–91.3) per 100,000 population (N = 50,663), with an associated CFR of 11.5 (95% PI: 11.2–11.8) per 100,000 population (N = 6554), by 2020/21.
Original language | English |
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Pages (from-to) | 228-231 |
Number of pages | 4 |
Journal | Journal of Hospital Infection |
Volume | 98 |
Issue number | 3 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - Mar 2018 |
Bibliographical note
Publisher Copyright:© 2017
Keywords
- 30-day all-cause mortality
- Bacteraemia
- Case-fatality rate
- E. coli
- England
- Forecast
- Incidence