Estimating the incidence and 30-day all-cause mortality rate of Escherichia coli bacteraemia in England by 2020/21

A. Bhattacharya, O. Nsonwu, Alan Johnson, Russell Hope*

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

25 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Escherichia coli bacteraemia rates have been increasing in England. Using the national mandatory surveillance data for E. coli bacteraemia from 2012/13 to 2016/17, we aimed to estimate the incidence of E. coli bacteraemia and 30-day all-cause case fatality rate (CFR) by 2020/21 in the absence of new interventions to reduce infection rates. After controlling for age, sex, and hospital versus community-onset of infection, it is estimated that the incidence of E. coli bacteraemia will be 90.5 (95% PI: 89.8–91.3) per 100,000 population (N = 50,663), with an associated CFR of 11.5 (95% PI: 11.2–11.8) per 100,000 population (N = 6554), by 2020/21.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)228-231
Number of pages4
JournalJournal of Hospital Infection
Volume98
Issue number3
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Mar 2018

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2017

Keywords

  • 30-day all-cause mortality
  • Bacteraemia
  • Case-fatality rate
  • E. coli
  • England
  • Forecast
  • Incidence

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