TY - JOUR
T1 - An analysis of influenza outbreaks in institutions and enclosed societies
AU - Finnie, T. J.R.
AU - Copley, V. R.
AU - Hall, Ian
AU - Leach, Stephen
PY - 2014/1
Y1 - 2014/1
N2 - SUMMARY This paper considers the reported attack ratio arising from outbreaks of influenza in enclosed societies. These societies are isolated from the wider community and have greater opportunities for contact between members which would aid the spread of disease. While the particular kind of society (prison, care home, school, barracks, etc.) was not a significant factor in an adjusted model of attack ratio, a person's occupation within the society was. In particular, children and military personnel suffer a greater attack ratio than other occupational types (staff, prisoners, etc.). There was no temporal trend in final attack ratio nor, with the exception of 1918, do pandemic years show abnormal attack ratios. We also observed that as community size increases, the attack ratio undergoes steep nonlinear decline. This statistical analysis draws attention to how the organization of such societies, their size and the occupations of individuals within them affect the final attack ratio.
AB - SUMMARY This paper considers the reported attack ratio arising from outbreaks of influenza in enclosed societies. These societies are isolated from the wider community and have greater opportunities for contact between members which would aid the spread of disease. While the particular kind of society (prison, care home, school, barracks, etc.) was not a significant factor in an adjusted model of attack ratio, a person's occupation within the society was. In particular, children and military personnel suffer a greater attack ratio than other occupational types (staff, prisoners, etc.). There was no temporal trend in final attack ratio nor, with the exception of 1918, do pandemic years show abnormal attack ratios. We also observed that as community size increases, the attack ratio undergoes steep nonlinear decline. This statistical analysis draws attention to how the organization of such societies, their size and the occupations of individuals within them affect the final attack ratio.
KW - Analysis of data
KW - Community epidemics
KW - Infectious disease control
KW - Influenza
KW - Mathematical modelling
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=84890054740&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1017/S0950268813000733
DO - 10.1017/S0950268813000733
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:84890054740
SN - 0950-2688
VL - 142
SP - 107
EP - 113
JO - Epidemiology and Infection
JF - Epidemiology and Infection
IS - 1
ER -