Abstract
Since the late 1980s, regular monitoring of the human immunodeficiency virus epidemic in England and Wales has been carried out through the work of successive national working groups. One of their tasks has been to provide short-term projections of the incidence of acquired immune deficiency syndrome. In this paper the data and methods used in this projection work are reviewed and results critically assessed with the aim of highlighting the strong interaction between methodological developments and data acquisition.
Original language | English |
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Pages (from-to) | 167-176 |
Number of pages | 10 |
Journal | Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A: Statistics in Society |
Volume | 161 |
Issue number | 2 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - 1998 |
Keywords
- AIDS projections in England and Wales
- Acquired immune deficiency syndrome (AIDS)
- Back-calculation
- HIV epidemic in England and Wales
- HIV prevalence
- Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)
- Methodology for AIDS projections and data acquisition