Acquired immune deficiency syndrome predictions for England and Wales (1992-97): sensitivity analysis, information, decision.

N. E. Day; S. M. Gore; Daniela De Angelis

doi:10.2307/2983443

Acquired immune deficiency syndrome predictions for England and Wales (1992-97): sensitivity analysis, information, decision.

N. E. Day^*, S. M. Gore, Daniela De Angelis

^*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

9 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Some implications of the use of the back-calculation method for estimating future trends in HIV infections and AIDS incidence in England and Wales are explored. "This paper explores in...detail some aspects of the latest projections which have only been hinted at in the report published by the Public Health Laboratory Service in 1993. The value of additional information on the HIV epidemic in discriminating between different, otherwise equally plausible, scenarios is demonstrated. The role of the backcalculation approach in determining whether, and how, the incubation distribution has been affected by increased uptake of pre-AIDS prophylaxis and treatment is discussed." excerpt

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	505-524
Number of pages	20
Journal	Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A: Statistics in Society
Volume	158
Issue number	3
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.2307/2983443
Publication status	Published - 1995

Bibliographical note

Copyright:
Copyright 2018 Medline is the source for the citation and abstract of this record.

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

Access to Document

10.2307/2983443

Cite this

@article{3d812d272a514b7abb6ab5f9e60da14a,

title = "Acquired immune deficiency syndrome predictions for England and Wales (1992-97): sensitivity analysis, information, decision.",

abstract = "Some implications of the use of the back-calculation method for estimating future trends in HIV infections and AIDS incidence in England and Wales are explored. {"}This paper explores in...detail some aspects of the latest projections which have only been hinted at in the report published by the Public Health Laboratory Service in 1993. The value of additional information on the HIV epidemic in discriminating between different, otherwise equally plausible, scenarios is demonstrated. The role of the backcalculation approach in determining whether, and how, the incubation distribution has been affected by increased uptake of pre-AIDS prophylaxis and treatment is discussed.{"} excerpt",

author = "Day, {N. E.} and Gore, {S. M.} and {De Angelis}, Daniela",

year = "1995",

doi = "10.2307/2983443",

language = "English",

volume = "158",

pages = "505--524",

journal = "Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A: Statistics in Society",

issn = "0964-1998",

publisher = "Royal Statistical Society",

number = "3",

}

TY - JOUR

T1 - Acquired immune deficiency syndrome predictions for England and Wales (1992-97)

T2 - sensitivity analysis, information, decision.

AU - Day, N. E.

AU - Gore, S. M.

AU - De Angelis, Daniela

PY - 1995

Y1 - 1995

N2 - Some implications of the use of the back-calculation method for estimating future trends in HIV infections and AIDS incidence in England and Wales are explored. "This paper explores in...detail some aspects of the latest projections which have only been hinted at in the report published by the Public Health Laboratory Service in 1993. The value of additional information on the HIV epidemic in discriminating between different, otherwise equally plausible, scenarios is demonstrated. The role of the backcalculation approach in determining whether, and how, the incubation distribution has been affected by increased uptake of pre-AIDS prophylaxis and treatment is discussed." excerpt

AB - Some implications of the use of the back-calculation method for estimating future trends in HIV infections and AIDS incidence in England and Wales are explored. "This paper explores in...detail some aspects of the latest projections which have only been hinted at in the report published by the Public Health Laboratory Service in 1993. The value of additional information on the HIV epidemic in discriminating between different, otherwise equally plausible, scenarios is demonstrated. The role of the backcalculation approach in determining whether, and how, the incubation distribution has been affected by increased uptake of pre-AIDS prophylaxis and treatment is discussed." excerpt

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=0029451044&partnerID=8YFLogxK

U2 - 10.2307/2983443

DO - 10.2307/2983443

M3 - Article

C2 - 12320135

AN - SCOPUS:0029451044

SN - 0964-1998

VL - 158

SP - 505

EP - 524

JO - Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A: Statistics in Society

JF - Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A: Statistics in Society

IS - 3

ER -

Acquired immune deficiency syndrome predictions for England and Wales (1992-97): sensitivity analysis, information, decision.

Abstract

Bibliographical note

UN SDGs

Access to Document

Other files and links

Fingerprint

Cite this